(2:32 attempts, no Revive) ODDS TO... % Fraction Finish "on pace" run deathless 8.9% 1/11 Finish after Roxanne 14.6% 1/7 Finish after Rival 2 19.8% 1/5 Finish after Norman 35.8% 1/3 Finish after Winona 46.0% 1/2 Finish after Tate & Liza 71.0% 2/3 Finish after Archie 91.7% 9/10 TOP RUN KILLERS: 1. Tate & Liza (26%) 2. Rival 2 (21%) 3. Norman (17%) T-4. Roxanne (15%) T-4. Flannery (15%) T-4. Jody (15%) FIGHT % WIN NOTES Rival 1 94 Calvin 87 Route 102 wild 98 Includes chance of not fighting one Aqua Pooch 93 Josh 98 Average of fighting him 1st and 2nd Tommy 99 Average of fighting him 1st and 2nd Marc 100 Roxanne 85 Devan 100 Aqua Pooch 2 99.9 Museum Grunt 1 95 Average of fighting as Mudkip and Marshtomp Museum Grunt 2 98 Isabel 100 Kabel 100 Rival 2 79 Alyssa 99.9 Edward 99 Deandre 100 Wally 1 100 Ben 99.9 Wattson 98 Lucas 100 Rose 100 Chimney Grunt 1 100 Chimney Grunt 2 100 Tabitha 1 100 Maxie 1 98 Flannery 85 Brawly 100 Randall 99.4 Parker 98 Jody 85 Norman 82 Weather Grunt 1 98.5 Weather Grunt 2 100 Weather Grunt 3 98.5 Shelly 92 Rival 3 94 Mt. Pyre Grunt 1 100 Mt. Pyre Grunt 2 100 Mt. Pyre double 100 Fortree double 99.5 Darius 94 Winona 99 Does not count Perish Song as a death Magma Hideout 1 100 Magma Hideout 2 100 Magma Hideout 3 99.9 Magma Hideout 4 100 Magma Hideout 5 100 Magma double 100 Tabitha 2 100 Maxie 2 88 Aqua Hideout 1 100 Aqua double 1 100 Aqua double 2 100 Matt 100 Declan 99.9 Mossdeep double 99.9 Macey 100 Sylvia 100 Hannah 100 Tate & Liza 74 Space Magma 1 100 Space Magma 2 99.9 Space Magma 3 100 Space Magma 4 100 Space Magma 5 100 True double 88 Aqua spinner 100 Archie 88 Juan 100 Wally 2 100 Hope 100 Shannon 100 Julie 100 Edgar 100 Sidney 100 Phoebe 100 Glacia 98.5 Drake 99 Champion 94