50/24 risk threshold
need ~ 50/12.5 risk threshold for the blizz route to be better 


14/15dv
max ether skip -8 
IB +9.3
faster menu -0.9
Carbos +6.1
elixir timing -1.2
Eggs -0.513
Erika -3.757
rhyhorn -0.626
blackbelt +1.767
viridian rival +2.4
bruno -0.664
lance -2.54
champ +4.596
~28.3% risk saved -11.515
NET ~ -5.552

13dv
[same stuff (pretty much)]
~36.1% risk saved -15.566
NET ~ -9.603