# of equips		Odds of drawing in 15 cards
1				37.5
2				61.5
3				76.7
4				86.2
5				91.9
6				95.4

So !roll 100 in chat, and if the number is greater the one above that corresponds to your # of equips, you will die to Neku, so you can save yourself the time and reset immediately.

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# of thunders		Odds of drawing in 5 cards
5					50.6
6					57.7
7					63.9
8					69.4
9					74.2
10					78.3
11					82.0
12					85.1