Sandshrew catch strat gibberish for Gold glitchless + Manipless


Perfect Shrew +9 ATK DVs
22/23 HP

Scratch	9-11	[15-18
13+DV*	10-12	[17-20
Rage0	5-6	[8-10
13+DV*	5-7	[8-10

+1 def (could be +1 DMG sometimes, bc I can't be bothered to check different shrews)
Scratch	6-8
Rage0	4-5

Catch strat
1 Scratch
9+ ATK perfect shrew def/9-12DV non perfect shrew:	9-11
13+ATK non perfect shrew				10-12

Shrew has 10-14 HP left	->	1 Ball 60%-68.8%
				2 Ball 84%-89.8%

crit leaves shrew at 2-8 ->	1 Ball 76.1%-93.9%

with 9-12 ATK Chance is Closer to the lower value
with 13-15 ATK Chance is Closer to the higher value

2*Scratch
low Chance to kill without a crit (not more than 3% in the worst case i think)
crit turn 2 Always Kills 6.2%

Assuming shrew survives
no DC
non crit leaves shrew at 1-5	->	1 Ball 85.1%-96.9%

DC
leaves shrew at 3-8		->	1 Ball 76.1%-90.8%

Scratch + Rage
no DC
dmg= 14-19
left at 9/23 - 3/22 HP		->	1 Ball 73.2%-90.8%

If rage crits
can kill if Sandshrew has bad def, HP, you have 13+ATK and you get a max roll or smth (should never happen :))
left at 6/23 - 1 (mostly left at 2/3 HP it seems)	->	1 Ball 82%-96.9%

DC
13-17 DMG left at 5-10 HP	->	1 Ball 72%-82%


Make of this non-sense what you want :)
Want to time min/max timeloss of breakouts vs min/max timeloss for additional turn in battle