1:58 attempts, no Revive, no crazy YOLO. This is mostly for fun. These are estimates based on runs, trials and some basic math.

ODDS TO...                          %           Fraction           
Finish "on pace" run deathless      3.2%        1/32
Finish after Roxanne				5.3%        1/19
Finish after Brawly		            7.0%        1/14
Finish after Wattson				10.6%       1/9
Finish after Flannery				20.1%       1/5
Finish after Norman		            32.5%       1/3
Finish after Winona             	45.4%       1/2
Finish after T&L	              	74.6%       3/4
Finish after Archie					88.3%       7/8

TOP RUN KILLERS:
1. T&L (32%)
2. Cooltrainer Brooke (31%)
3. Norman (30%)
4. Brawly (23%)
T-5. Rival 2 (19%)
T-5. Winona (19%)

				NEW		OLD
Rival 1			93		93
Calvin			95		95
Aqua Pooch		90		90
Josh			89		92
Tommy			100		100
Roxanne			84		85
Clark			100		100
Aqua Pooch		99.9	99.9
Joey			99		99
Laura			99.9	99.9
Brawly			77		78
Grunt			99		99
Grunt			94		94
Rival 2			81		81
Vivian			99		99
Shawn			97		97
Wattson			91		91
Cooltrainer		69		72
Grunt			100		100
Grunt			99.9	99.9
Archie 1		88		89
Flannery		87		92
Randall			98		99
Parker			96		97
Berke			94		94
Norman			70		70
Grunt			99		99
Grunt			99		99
Shelly			95		95
Rival 3			98		98
Jared			98		98
Kylee			99		99
Winona			81		87
Grunt			100		100
Grunt			98		98
Grunt			97		96
Matt			95		95
Samantha		99		99
T&L				68		70
Shelly			95		95
Archie 2		89		89
Wallace			99		99
Hope			100		100
Shannon			100		100
Julie			99.9	99.9
Edgar			100		100
Wally			99.9	99.9
Sidney			99.9	99		
Phoebe			97		95
Glacia			96		92
Drake			99		99
Champion		97		97
Wild flier		100		97

-----

OLD ROUTE: 3.8% chance of completing a run without a death

TOP RUN KILLERS: 
T-1. Norman (30%)
T-1. T&L (30%)
3. Cooltrainer Brooke (28%)
4. Brawly (22%)
5. Rival 2 (19%)