Estimates for now, sims likely to come if Clefable ends up faster

HP		Surge win%	Red bar%	No red bar time loss*	Risk time loss (50/24)	Total time loss
Full	100			2			41 (40.2)				0						40.2
65		92			8			34 (31.3)				2.9						34.2
52		81			13			26 (22.5)				7.3						29.8
32		62			26			16 (11.8)				16.6					28.4
22		38			45			9 (5.0)					33.5					38.5
17		25			70			6 (1.8)					48						49.8
11		14			100			0 (0.0)					68.1					68.1

*Over a reasonable good Fly bar split, which is a 5-second turn lost to Slowpoke to make sure you stay in red bar through L30/L31